Major Hurricane Melissa is expected in a few days. Four different models. Same scary look. Early next week here. www.spaghettimodels.com
Melissa expected to be a Major Hurricane lingering in the Caribbean into early next week. EURO rainfall estimates here. Depends on final track of course but paints the idea. Serious flooding is coming. www.spaghettimodels.com
Thursday AM NHC track update on Melissa. Major intensification likely with very little movement the next several days. Feet of rain expected as it crawls west. Expected turn N/NE next week still on tap. www.spaghettimodels.com
Thursday AM spaghetti models for Melissa on tropicaltidbits.com. No big changes. Slow movement west into early next week. Eventual turn N/NE after. Feet of rain. Major Hurricane likely. www.spaghettimodels.com
Who else clings to older shirts that mean so much? I like them. I keep old ones and throw away the whole new. Weird yes. Shirts with memories stimulate me. The folks at Roy’s took our family in. Way before Helene. They lost it all. When I wear this I feel for them. And all of Steinhatchee as that area has become family through the years.
Wednesday 5pm NHC track update on Melissa. That slow motion west showing into early week. Now expected to be 130mph on Monday. Longer range models still showing that turn N/NE after. www.spaghettimodels.com
Wednesday 10/22 Tropical Update: Melissa trending a little west before that expected turn N/NE. Lingering several days ahead. Huge rains for some in the Caribbean. Could be feet. #melissa #tropicalupdate #hurricaneseason #mikesweatherpage
Wednesday evening 18z Spaghetti Models for Melissa. Slow moving into the weekend at least. Heads west. Then a turn N/NE eventually. Consistent thinking still today. These go out 7 days. Hours away marked each plot. Many models showing Major Hurricane in the Caribbean before the turn. www.spaghettimodels.com
Wednesday 12z EURO track on Melissa. Expecting to peak at 919mb pressure after hard right turn and that consistent curve NE. One run of many of course. But wanted to follow up on its 06z run. New NHC cone at 5pm. www.spaghettimodels.com
EURO seems to be handling Melissa better than the GFS. Latest Wed 06z bottom right ensemble mean ticking more west. NHC trends top right showing their bend west. Top performing models on Melissas track so far top left shows EURO (red) doing well. Will see what the next run shows this afternoon. Next NHC track update 5pm. Majority still show that N/NE eventual bend. But when. www.spaghettimodels.com